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Citigroup (C)
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Author Citigroup (C)
HenryTo
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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:22 pm    Post subject: Citigroup (C) Reply with quote

It is now officially Morgan Stanley's "top short idea" for 2008:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aCQGvCjmAmrM&refer=home
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Author Citigroup (C) Replies
rffrydr
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 28, 2011 10:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

....Judge says, "people have right to know." Right. By the time we "know" we'll have forgotten this case existed. Now Citi is free to litigate.
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 28, 2011 11:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Finally some backbone shown by the US government (albeit the judicial branch) as Citigroup's settlement with SEC was rejected based on deniability of wrongdoing.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-28/citigroup-mortgage-securities-settlement-with-sec-rejected-by-u-s-judge.html
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2011 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Citi is making money from RETAIL. It may not be the best global empire (few are: http://www.economist.com/node/18558236?story_id=18558236) but it's kicking in.

Already sold down it's not taking the bait today and after the split-back shenanigans are over should be a good beginning....dividend or no dividend.

Still hold my "free" half-position from '09. Not wise in hindsight as even free has its costs but this one's filed away. May start with some option-ins later in the quarter.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 21, 2011 12:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nothing is obvious:

Citigroup Gets Hit Hard

By Timothy Collins

Quote:

Bigger may not be better. At least that may be true for the price of Citigroup. Shares are taking a beating today. There may be a little disappointment in the size of the dividend, but it may be more than that. This stock has been a dream for high-volume traders living on rebates. Once Citigroup moves from the $4s into the $40s, the volume will drop quite a bit, and so will the cash cow -- I mean rebates. I would expect to see some pressure on Citi as this high-frequency trading winds down, but it is a bit surprising to see it this early. I'm actually worried about the chart patterns on Citi. I was a bit early into this one last year, and out a bit early, but it held up better to technicals than many other financials. A close this week under $4.39,...

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PostPosted: Wed Jan 19, 2011 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"75% overseas"...and we can barely surpass tangilble book value. Obviously when it comes to BRIC investing much depends on how "pure" your play really is.

Still holding my "free" half position from '08 and this, with GM, is my EEM exposure. I've been ripped off at enough of their tellers around the world to know this value will be realized. But we'll never be fashionable. Long term what will be interesting is if our very atypical CEO who was pasted up as a minority front on this monster will be part of a new vision in banking--perhaps a true realization of "global banking."

Don't have a lot of confidence in this trend but do believe in the compounding value of money. And since the position is free I can afford to leave it in the world's hands. The Reserves will keep giving back for a long long time. Still, I do not expect the shareholder to matter here for that same time and Citi will go on representing what most in Wall St. fear as, the "utility bank."
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 5:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Morningstar on Citigroup's 4Q earnings:

Quote:
Citigroup C reported its fourth quarter of positive earnings, making $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter. The bank's underlying performance was marred by mark-to-market accounting on its debt, which caused a $1.1 billion loss in its principal trading. The mark to market caused the company to underperform our quarterly expectations, but our long-term assumptions remain unchanged. Consequently, we are maintaining our fair value estimate. More than 75% of Citigroup's earnings were derived from its international business. Overseas, the company is seeing improvement in India and Latin American credit cards, and most of its other regions are seeing stabilization in credit metrics. We believe the company will continue to see improvements in credit costs--which, while improving, are still higher than normal. In the United States, the company's mortgage loan book saw a decline in delinquencies and losses. This helped lead to a $2.2 billion release of loan-loss reserves during the quarter. However, Citigroup still maintains an allowance above 6% of loans, meaning it has plenty of reserves despite the release. On a capital front, Citigroup is very well off. Its Tier 1 common ratio of 10.7%, on top of its hefty allowance for loan losses has set the company up for an eventual reinstatement of its dividend and potentially a significant share-repurchase program. However, we expect Citigroup will remain cautious about returning funds to shareholders, as items like Basel III's capital levels are not yet set for systemically important banks.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 9:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Number one "selling on strength" today. Looks like no-one likes those Goldman analyst reports anymore.
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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 7:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Added to Goldman "conviction buy" list, looking for 35% and end of government holdings mid-2001.
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 30, 2010 4:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

C is a zero play, for all the rally we've had it's still at $3.67 and declining.
I think even Cramer has given up trying to get this thing over $5.
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 30, 2010 12:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's only taken a year-and-half to discover Citi is an EEM play. The branch cluster model hasn't been the best approach but now anything is better than USof A:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/38919942
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 27, 2010 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That DTN issue has been regurgitated almost as much as the evil mark-to-market of bank's own debt. What Mayo is saying is that Citi should be denied what any mom-and-pop liquor store could use. To qualify they just have to stay in business--that part they did.

The IRS ruling is a technicality the purpose of which is to prevent abusive buyouts xxx tax shelters.

And, if it's conspiracies you're huntin' go check out the WaMu handoff to JPM. The BK case opened up this week, is a window to the absurd.
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 27, 2010 10:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mike Mayo says Citi is cooking the books.
(they wouldn't do that, would they?)

Pandit declares war on him.

http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2010/08/25/analyst-citigroup-cooking-books/
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 20, 2010 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

How's that for the ol' switcheroo?! Moody's upgrades Citi:

http://wallstreetpit.com/36220-moodys-raises-citi-outlook

What do we do with that? Since it's been trading above the MS government selling point we'll probably have to go with that.

Wink
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PostPosted: Wed Jun 02, 2010 12:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Feds Just Won't Let Citi Lift

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist
6/2/2010 12:52 PM EDT



Quote:
The news continues to be terrific, with the rationalizing of the finance unit and preparations for a sale. We aren't hearing anything other than good things about the core business, and we know that it is unlikely to be harmed too much by more financial regulation, since it has been hewing to the toughest line in terms of what should be done, and has had to check with the government on many of its businesses.

I know Qatar said it was seeking to buy a big chunk. I know that John Paulson, the hedge-fund genius who shorted housing, is buying. I didn't believe Bill Ackman was done with buying when he mentioned it at the Ira Sohn Research Conference of hedge-fund bigwigs last week.

To me, this one is still the single best option on America's banking renaissance. It also is an attractive candidate to buy some of the assets of the ne'er-do-well banks overseas, where it already has a presence, as it improves its balance sheet. It will be the most solvent bank in the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain), and it has a major presence in Latin American and African growth markets. It can buy the U.S. properties of Banco Santander (STD - commentary - Trade Now)!

I just want to keep it in front of people because, while it was recommended by a bunch of research houses these past two weeks, it is very clear to me that the government is laying all over the darned thing, and it simply isn't letting the stock lift. There is nothing else wrong with the stock. Nothing at all.

Random musings: The regional banks could be an exciting play and anyone who's interested should check out the articles today from two of our technical gurus, Alan Farley and L.A. Little. And for another bullish take on Citi, check out Sham Gad's piece, "Citigroup Is Stronger Than You Think."

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