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Consumer confidence jumps
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Author Consumer confidence jumps
HenryTo
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Joined: 06 Aug 2004
Posts: 11732
Location: Los Angeles, California

PostPosted: Tue May 31, 2005 2:39 pm    Post subject: Consumer confidence jumps Reply with quote

Note that we have in the past used this as a contrarian and overbought/oversold indicator. Historically, any reading over 110 should be a cause for concern for the bulls. I will update this chart in tomorrow morning's (my partner doesn't have time to update our website on Thursday morning) commentary.
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Consumer confidence jumps

Latest survey finds far stronger sentiment than expected about state of the U.S. economy.
May 31, 2005: 10:20 AM EDT

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Consumers were far more confident about the economy in May, according to Tuesday's reading from a business research group that came in well above Wall Street expectations.

The Conference Board's May reading on confidence came in at 102.2, up from the revised 97.5 reading in April. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast the index would drop to 96.0.

"Consumers' concerns about the economy and jobs have eased," said a statement from Lynn Franco, director of he Conference Board's consumer research center. "The expectations index, while slightly below year-ago levels, continues to signal economic growth in the months ahead."

The group's survey found a mixed view of employment. The percentage of consumers who believe jobs are "hard to get" increased to 24.2 percent from 22.9 percent, but those who believe jobs are "plentiful" also rose to 22.6 percent from 20.4 percent.

The employment outlook for the future improved, as did the share of consumers anticipating business conditions to improve. There was also gains in the share of consumers anticipating their incomes to improve in the months ahead.

Confidence readings such as this one are seen as an important predictor of consumers' willingness to spend, especially on big ticket items, such as automobiles and appliances. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of the nation's economic activity.

The survey is based on a sample of 5,000 U.S. households.
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