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ETF Timing 2x
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Author ETF Timing 2x
Joao-D
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PostPosted: Wed Jul 14, 2010 5:35 am    Post subject: ETF Timing 2x Reply with quote

I'm from Portugal, my English is not perfect, but I hope to improve.


The ETF Timing 2x is a market timing trading system in which I utilize my proprietary technical indicators applied to 2x leveraged ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)

(Market Timing - strategy of making buy or sell decisions attempting to predict future market price movements – when to hold ‘em when to fold ‘em, as Livermore’s friend and Palm
Beach Casino owner Ed Bradley used to say.)

The system have five high-risk portfolios each with $12500 USD

Generally, low-risk investments have a higher level of security for investor but, tend to have a lower return.
High-risk investments, on the other hand, can bring a higher return, but with a much higher degree of uncertainty, which may cause heavy losses to investors.


Portfolios

S&P 500 Timing uses SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF) and SDS (ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF).
Nasdaq Timing uses QLD (ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF) and QID (ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF).
OIL Timing uses UCO (ProShares Ultra DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF) and SCO (ProShares UltraShort DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF).
Silver Timing uses AGQ (ProShares Ultra Silver ETF) and ZSL (ProShares UltraShort Silver ETF).
Gold Timing uses UGL (ProShares Ultra Gold ETF) and GLL (ProShares UltraShort Gold ETF).

The trading commissions are $ 7.50 USD.

Rule:
All entries and exits must be written first in forum and are limited to the next opening, so every business can be seen before materialize.
In practice, this rule makes the results are seen always rounded by default, which endows them complete validity and realism.


Last edited by Joao-D on Mon Aug 30, 2010 9:11 pm; edited 5 times in total
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Author ETF Timing 2x Replies
Joao-D
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 06, 2010 10:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated portfolio

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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 06, 2010 9:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

nodoodahs wrote:

Late note here - you'll find that any of the ETFs which track futures markets that trade "overnight" relative to the ETF are much more "gappy" than the stock-based ETFs, since the majority of action in a stock index is during the same hours that the ETF trades.

Since I trade on a much longer timeframe than you, this doesn't concern me, so I noted it without trying to compensate for it. You probably need to (and already have recognized that).


Yes, you're right.
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 06, 2010 9:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My priority is the Investing Ideas.
I use the SP500 and Nasdaq100 as a guide for the Investing Ideas, so, I'll have a little more attention to the S&P 500 Timing and the Nasdaq 100 Timing.
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nodoodahs
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 03, 2010 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Joao-D wrote:
This portfolio is a new experience with ETFs, I do not have the habit of negotiating leveraged ETF oil, gold and silver, usually I negotiate other instruments. As the first experience I see that the gaps are more frequent in the oil, gold and silver ETFs. Because I use the opening price is a bit complicated, so I'll change my strategy a bit but I will continue to use the opening price.
Late note here - you'll find that any of the ETFs which track futures markets that trade "overnight" relative to the ETF are much more "gappy" than the stock-based ETFs, since the majority of action in a stock index is during the same hours that the ETF trades.

Since I trade on a much longer timeframe than you, this doesn't concern me, so I noted it without trying to compensate for it. You probably need to (and already have recognized that).
_________________
I haven’t seen a beatin’ like that since somebody stuck a banana in my pants and turned a monkey loose.
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 03, 2010 7:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I decided to exit positions.

Last edited by Joao-D on Fri Sep 03, 2010 10:30 am; edited 1 time in total
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 31, 2010 7:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The ETF Timing 2x says to buy:

UCO (ProShares Ultra DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF)
SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF)
QLD (ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF)
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 12, 2010 5:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This portfolio is a new experience with ETFs, I do not have the habit of negotiating leveraged ETF oil, gold and silver, usually I negotiate other instruments. As the first experience I see that the gaps are more frequent in the oil, gold and silver ETFs. Because I use the opening price is a bit complicated, so I'll change my strategy a bit but I will continue to use the opening price.
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 08, 2010 9:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Confused in short-term.
As we can see, there are some doji candles and gap areas.




Doji candles - All dojis are marked by the fact that prices opened and closed at the same level.
Usually reflect indecision.

Gap are areas on a chart where the price of a stock moves sharply up or down with little or no trading in between.
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 8:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rffrydr wrote:
Hey Joao--

You see many signs of the old colony, Brazil, there in the home country?

I think not.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 2:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hey Joao--

You see many signs of the old colony, Brazil, there in the home country?
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 10:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Realized Businesses

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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 9:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Realized businesses

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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The ETF Timing 2x says to sell:

SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF)
QLD (ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF)
UCO (ProShares Ultra DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF)
AGQ (ProShares Ultra Silver ETF)
UGL (ProShares Ultra Gold ETF)
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Mon Aug 02, 2010 7:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The ETF Timing 2x says to sell :

SDS (ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 ETF)
QID (ProShares UltraShort QQQ ETF)
SCO (ProShares UltraShort DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF)
ZSL (ProShares UltraShort Silver ETF)
GLL (ProShares UltraShort Gold ETF)

and buy:

SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF)
QLD (ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF)
UCO (ProShares Ultra DJ-AIG CRUDE OIL ETF)
AGQ (ProShares Ultra Silver ETF)
UGL (ProShares Ultra Gold ETF)
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Joao-D
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 01, 2010 4:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Did not start well.


Completed Businesses


Open businesses

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