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Jim Rogers Replies |
mtvk Veteran Poster

Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 242
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Posted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 2:39 pm Post subject: |
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Henry,
Wrt us bonds, GMO and Rogers differ. Gmo is forecasting for
next sever years return from us bonds and tips will be 2%
after inflation.
Seems its safe to keep money in bond portion of assets in
tips as both would agree on. |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 10:37 am Post subject: |
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http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.asxx?clip=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vo0.Z1Q4Lx7U.asf
Says job numbers are a "charade" given that it reported higher employment in the banking and insurance industries, even though layoffs were rampant in those industries over the last couple of months.
Also:
* Says Bernanke is a "nut" for cutting interest rates given skyrocketing oil, lower USD, etc.
* Says we are already a recession and that there's no doubt oil prices will rise to $150 sometime in the next few years.
* Best investment right now is agricultural commodities.
* Believes the bond market topped out in 2003 (which we assert as well) and that bonds are going to decline for "years to come."
* The Chinese Renminbi will triple or quadruple over the next 15 to 20 years. Also says he is moving to Asia, which he asserts, is similar to moving to NYC in 1907 or London in 1807.
* The next crisis will emerge out of the West and Asia will bail us out, as opposed to 1997 and 1998 when the US bailed out Asia.
* Still short the investment banks and the homebuilders. The term that folks will need to keep in mind for the next six months is the term "Level 3 assets" because we will be hearing a lot about that from the investment banks over the next six months. |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Tue Oct 23, 2007 7:13 pm Post subject: |
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One more update from Jim Rogers. Not surprisingly, he hasn't changed his tune:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=amQBwDBSDvBE&refer=home
| Quote: | The carry trades in yen and francs will ``unwind someday,'' which will send the currencies ``straight up,'' Rogers said. ``I'm buying the yen.''
The bull markets in bonds and stocks are ``over,'' he said. ``Bonds will be a terrible place to be for many years and will in fact be going down for many years.''
Rogers said he remains bullish on commodities because ``that's where the big fortunes are going to be made in the world in the next five, or 10 or 15 years. The current bull market is going to last until sometime between 2014 and 2022.'' |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Mon Sep 24, 2007 12:00 pm Post subject: |
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Another update from Jim Rogers:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYX0FMO9UcZE&refer=home
| Quote: | Sept. 24 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut was a mistake that will prompt ``skyrocketing'' agricultural prices worldwide, exacerbate a decline in the dollar and quicken inflation, investor Jim Rogers said.
The ``clowns in Washington'' have ``signaled to the world they don't care about the U.S. dollar,'' Rogers said in an interview from Singapore. The Fed reduced its benchmark rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 percent last week. |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Mon Sep 24, 2007 11:59 am Post subject: |
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| Most PIMCO funds are good but I haven't specifically looked into their commodity funds. One of the consultant relations guy there sent me a 61-page independent study on investing in commodities from an institutional/liquidity-providing standpoint and I still yet have to go through it. |
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mtvk Veteran Poster

Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 242
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Posted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 9:14 pm Post subject: |
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Listening to all talking heads, is like going through roller coaster.
Once you think you arrived at the TRUTH, yet another TRUTH comes.
Now as per Rogers the long positions to hold is commodities.
May be max 10% in PCRDX. |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Tue Sep 18, 2007 4:35 pm Post subject: |
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Jim Rogers on the Fed cut today:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYBOOiT5mAO0&refer=home
| Quote: | ``Every time the Fed turns around to save its friends on Wall Street, it makes the situation worse,'' Rogers said in an interview from Shanghai. ``If Bernanke starts running those printing presses even faster than he's doing already, yes we are going to have a serious recession. The dollar's going to collapse, the bond market's going to collapse. There's going to be a lot of problems in the U.S.''
Rogers, who predicted the start of the global commodities rally in 1999, said investors should sell U.S. dollars and bonds. He said he's selling short shares of investment banks and expects them to fall further. The Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index rose 4.8 percent today, trimming its loss for 2007 to 2.8 percent. |
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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diesel Moderator


Joined: 05 Oct 2006 Posts: 793 Location: Australia & New Zealand
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Wed May 30, 2007 9:00 pm Post subject: |
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We gotta alot data coming out this week, still room for some pain. And now that we've shrugged off Shanghai, there's room for it to come back and bite us in the tail--esp. if the regional govt. (like the Shanghai street maintainance) is in it up to their eyeballs. _________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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diesel Moderator


Joined: 05 Oct 2006 Posts: 793 Location: Australia & New Zealand
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diesel Moderator


Joined: 05 Oct 2006 Posts: 793 Location: Australia & New Zealand
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