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rffrydr
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 Posted: Fri Feb 03, 2012 5:54 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like we're about "due"! Of course it's that platform economy keeping those profit margins up high which provides the potential for a rush of hiring--all we need is a good scare 
Going in to today's jobs number was an almost consensus idea that Dec. jobs, flattered as they were by Xmas couriers, might have even been outright "rigged" by the government--this flowed naturally from the "truth" that GDP was all govt. doing; and all that was going to become all she wrote.
All big change begins with a lie. All great building is a bluff (Amazon earnings 1999 to get tacky). And it is this very anger at being cheated, this hostility of being forced to live the lie, that they will "cover" all the way up.
And then they'll xxx all the way to the credit union. 
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HenryTo
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Location: Los Angeles, California
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HenryTo
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| Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 1:46 pm Post subject: |
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The current big US exports: Higher education (accepting foreign Asian students in lieu of domestic Asian Americans); and selling US Green Cards for $500,000 a pop.  |
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rffrydr
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| Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 5:05 am Post subject: |
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Don't forget when you talk savings in America you're talking home-and-hearth. In the Gelded Age we had MEW...now, we have 12mo foreclosures and jingle mail
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HenryTo
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| Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 12:06 am Post subject: |
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Bridgewater on US income growth (or the lack thereof).
| Quote: | | For the last two years, households have generally increased their spending faster than their incomes by reducing their savings rates. The December income and spending report was a break from this pattern, as spending growth rates weakened, income growth rates improved, and the savings rate ticked higher. Spending growth rates can’t outpace income growth rates indefinitely, and despite the uptick in December, income growth rates remain weak. While payroll growth is now above average, wage growth has continued to weaken. The share of national income that workers are receiving through compensation is at secular lows due to a combination of cyclical factors such as high unemployment rates and secular factors that have been in place for many years such as increasing competition from workers in emerging markets. The share of national income going to corporate profits is at secular highs, but companies are retaining a significant share of profits (i.e. they are saving), so this money is not flowing back to the economy. In addition, fiscal pressures remain a drag on income growth due to the weakness in direct government spending, lower transfers, and rising taxes. Incomes may improve very gradually as cyclical conditions recover and the pace of fiscal cuts slows, so healthy growth rates will likely continue to require additional declines in household savings. |
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rffrydr
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HenryTo
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rffrydr
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rffrydr
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HenryTo
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rffrydr
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Joined: 30 Oct 2005
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Location: Sunny California
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| Posted: Fri Oct 07, 2011 6:41 am Post subject: |
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Okay ....hurricane work, Xmas logistics is pulling 'em in. Teachers' weren't the big drag they were last year. Now if we can get some mementum: Xmas retail forced pull and restaurants forced pull. Manufacturing should pick up with Ford production alone, Volkeswagen plant et. al.
Not a great number for the depressionistas. Hang your hat on Govt. firings...which might take longer than you think. On the flipside, "Great Recession" now seem so quaint.
Bloomberg can't stop talking its Doomsberg line as market spikes UP. Luv it.
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rffrydr
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rffrydr
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| Posted: Mon Oct 03, 2011 9:53 am Post subject: |
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Huge seasonal coming up: Teachers. Have no idea how this will wash out.
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rffrydr
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| Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2011 8:15 am Post subject: |
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Cramer interviews Paychex. What?! Misleadingly wrong information from the WSJ and health care impairments? World is better than you think:
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000048143
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rffrydr
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| Posted: Mon Sep 26, 2011 9:12 pm Post subject: |
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Brookings analysis found that only 16 of the nation’s 100 largest metropolitan areas have regained more than half of the jobs they lost during the recession.
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