Latest ECRI Weekly Leading Index Readings

[HenryTo]

For some reason, the ECRI doesn't publish weekly press releases anymore on its Weekly Leading Index readings - although one can still get access to the weekly readings via a (free) registration.

For the week ending June 17, 2005, the Weekly Leading Index level is at 133.4 - a growth rate of 0.2% from last year. I will try to update this thread every week from now on.

Hope everyone is having a great Sunday!

Henry

[rffrydr]

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 1/27/2012.

WLI = 123.1
Annual ROC = -5.2%

Last week's WLI was revised to 122.7, while the annual ROC was revised to -6.6%.
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WLI Ticks Up

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate also improved, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index edged up to 123.1 in the week ended Jan 27 from a revised 122.7 the previous week. That was originally reported as 122.8.

The index's annualized growth rate rose to minus 5.2 percent from minus 6.6 percent a week earlier.

ECRI said the growth rate rose to a 22-week high.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 1/20/2012.

WLI = 122.8
Annual ROC = -6.5%

Last week's WLI was revised to 123.3, while the annual ROC was revised to -7.6%.
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WLI Slips

A measure of future U.S. economic growth declined modestly in the latest week, though the annualized growth rate improved, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index dipped to 122.8 in the week ended Jan 20 from a revised 123.3 the previous week. That was originally reported as 123.4.

The index's annualized growth rate gained to minus 6.5 percent from a revised minus 7.6 percent a week earlier.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 1/13/2012. Finally turning up as the growth rate becomes less negative.

WLI = 123.4
Annual ROC = -7.5%

Last week's WLI was revised to 121.1, while the annual ROC was revised to -8.6%.
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WLI Rises

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week to its highest level in five months, while the annualized growth rate also improved, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index for the week ended Jan 13 climbed to 123.4, the highest level since August, from a revised 121.1 the previous week.

That figure was originally reported as 121.2. The index's annualized growth rate improved to its highest level since September at minus 7.5 percent from minus 8.6 percent.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 1/6/2012.

WLI = 121.2
Annual ROC = -8.4%

No revisions to last week's readings.
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WLI Rises

A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week, though the annualized growth rate eased, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 121.2 in the week ended Jan 6 from 120.2 the previous week.

The index's annualized growth rate slipped to minus 8.4 percent from minus 8.2 percent a week earlier.

[HenryTo]

Oops, spoke too soon. For the week ending 12/30/2011.

WLI = 120.2
Annual ROC = -8.2%

Last week's WLI was revised to 120.7, while the annual ROC was unchanged.
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WLI Falls

A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week, according to the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

The ECRI’s leading index for the week ending Dec. 30 fell to 120.2 from 120.7 in the previous week. The growth rate, which is designed to minimize monthly fluctuations, fell 8.2 percent.

[HenryTo]

Yes, looking for the second derivative (the change in the change) to go decisively positive this week. No US recession here.

[rffrydr]

That's a "minus" 7.6%....little "slip" there, Master H.? What might you be really thinking?
_________________
Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday!

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 12/23/2011. Looking for this indicator to reverse and start moving up this week.

WLI = 120.9
Annual ROC = -7.6%

No revisions to last week's readings.
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Weekly Leading Index Falls

A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week, according to the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

The ECRI’s leading index for the week ending Dec. 23 fell to 120.9 from 121.3 in the previous week.

The growth rate, which is designed to minimize monthly fluctuations, fell to 7.6 percent.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 12/16/2011

WLI = 121.3
Annual ROC = -7.7%

No revisions to last week's readings.
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WLI Ticks Down

A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate also sagged, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index slipped to 121.3 in the week ended Dec 16 from 122.3 the previous week.

The index's annualized growth rate dipped to minus 7.7 percent from minus 7.5 percent a week earlier.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 12/9/2011

WLI = 122.3
Annual ROC = -7.5%

Last week's WLI was revised to 122.4, while the annual ROC was revised to -7.7%.
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WLI Little Changed

A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate improved modestly, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index dipped to 122.3 in the week ended Dec 9 from 122.4 the previous week. That was originally reported as 122.5.

The index's annualized growth rate improved to minus 7.5 percent from minus 7.7 percent a week earlier.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 12/2/2011

WLI = 122.5
Annual ROC = -7.6%

Last week's WLI was revised to 120.8, while the annual ROC was revised unchanged.
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WLI Rises

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week, as did the growth rate on an annualized basis, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 122.5 in the week ended December 2 from a revised 120.8 the previous week. It was originally reported at 120.9.

The index's annualized growth rate rose to minus 7.6 percent from minus 7.8 percent a week earlier.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 11/25/2011

WLI = 120.9
Annual ROC = -7.8%

Last week's WLI was revised to 122.2, while the annual ROC was revised to -7.4%.
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WLI Falls

A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped in the latest week, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index dropped to 120.9 in the week ended Nov 25 from a revised 122.2 the previous week, originally reported at 122.3.

The index's annualized growth rate worsened to minus 7.8 percent from minus 7.4 percent a week earlier, which was revised from minus 7.3.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 11/18/2011

WLI = 122.3
Annual ROC = -7.3%

Last week's WLI was revised to 122.0, while the annual ROC was revised to -7.8%.
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WLI Ticks Up

A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate continued to improve from low levels, a research group said on Wednesday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 122.3 in the week ended Nov 18 from 122.0 the previous week. That was originally reported as 122.1.

The index's annualized growth rate gained to minus 7.3 percent from minus 7.8 percent a week earlier, its fourth week of gains.

[HenryTo]

For the week ending 11/11/2011

WLI = 121.8
Annual ROC = -7.9%

No revisions to last week's readings.
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WLI Falls

A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week, but the annualized growth rate continued to improve, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index inched down to 122.1 in the week ended Nov 11 from 122.3 the previous week.

The index's annualized growth rate gained to minus 7.8 percent from minus 8.5 percent a week earlier.