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Microsoft (MSFT) |
The Chartist Veteran Poster

Joined: 29 Jan 2007 Posts: 166
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Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 7:59 am Post subject: Microsoft (MSFT) |
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The more you look at the Microsoft chart very closely and the trend line that supports it, the more you will start to see that the technical support is not all that solid, because it looks too steep and the fluctuation is too narrow.
I can imagine that many technical investors would wait for Microsoft stock to pullback a bit, and find the next solid support before buying it, but not now.
http://www.chart-dow-stocks.com/microsoft-stock.html
Even though the support line has done very well supporting and attracting buyers in the last 7 months, it’s not a solid technical support line.
It’s will be interesting to see how long it can continue to support buyers, which I don’t think for long. I would never buy this stock here and now.
And realize that this is not a recommendation to buy or sell or wait, it’s just a learning tool and also an example.
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Fri Apr 20, 2012 12:08 pm Post subject: |
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Morningstar on MSFT's 3Q earnings.
| Quote: | | Microsoft MSFT reported a 6% year-over-year increase in third-quarter revenue as strong performance by the server and tools division offset a 17% decline in the entertainment and devices business. Revenue was also helped by a return to growth in the Windows client operating system business as PC sales increased from the prior-year quarter. High teens growth in SQL Server revenue drove a 14% increase in the server and tools division. SQL Server 2012 launched in the quarter, and Windows Server 2012 should be released later this calendar year. We expect the server division to continue to do well as Microsoft's new products and hybrid cloud strategy should help the company gain market share. The Office business delivered 9% year-over-year revenue growth with double-digit growth in the Office server products. Lync continued its rapid growth with revenue increasing 35% from the prior-year period, while Dynamics CRM grew more than 30%. We expect that the compelling value proposition of Office 365 combined with ongoing deployments of Office 2010 will drive continued growth in this division. Overall, the quarter was in line with our expectations, and we are maintaining our fair value estimate. |
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:54 am Post subject: |
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Finally the victimizer, not the victim:
Microsoft: Xboxing clever
| Quote: | There may never be another business that spews money like Microsoft’s near monopoly on operating systems and office software for personal computers. So, faced with the PC’s slow decline, Microsoft has invested in many new ventures, from internet search to phones. But none is more important than Xbox.
The gaming console has a worldwide installed base of 66m. There are also more than 40m “Xbox live” subscribers who play games with peers over the internet; many pay $50 a year for the premium version. All of this resulted in Microsoft’s entertainment and devices division generating $1.3bn in operating profits last year, or about 5 per cent of Microsoft’s total, with mid-teen margins. And all this despite the fact that Microsoft’s phone business – likely a lossmaker – is included in the same segment.
Future growth is expected to come outside of gaming, though. The Xbox console is seen as a way for Microsoft to “own the living room”, becoming the home entertainment hub. Yesterday brought an announcement that Xbox’s premium subscribers in the US would be able to access Comcast’s Xfinity pay-per-view service, HBO Go and Major League Baseball content using Xbox as an interface, the latest in a series of such partnerships including British Sky Broadcasting, the BBC and Lovefilm in the UK.
The Xbox user base is meaningful, and Microsoft’s investments in search and the Kinect voice and motion controller position it to offer a slick interface. The question is how to make the business profitable in the long term. Xbox takes others’ content, distributed over others’ networks, and makes it easier to find and use. Competitors in this role include TiVo, Roku, Sony and Apple. Many of these options are already low cost. It will be a nasty fight for the living room and it is not entirely clear what the spoils will be. |
--FT _________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Sun Feb 26, 2012 8:20 am Post subject: |
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"Connected Standby Mode"....only 15yrs after Bush Jr. used computer's powersuck as a plank to whack Silicon Valley dems into a very un-divine state of self-reflection! With the new Intel architecture I think Wintel will get another wind its sails. And BTW, the backbone of the Cloud is hardware.
I like the new Nokia phones. They've gone for the hipster/Madmen (Saul Bass) layout on a "plane of glass" look. Outlook and Excel will be hip again  _________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Thu Feb 16, 2012 7:51 pm Post subject: |
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| rffrydr wrote: | | Still 5% above that "buy"....sticking by no 24 tag again IN THE NEXT TEN YEARS. No dividend either. Still can't stand Balmer. |
--Sept 24
...Maybe our lifetimes  _________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Fri Jan 20, 2012 4:52 pm Post subject: |
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Morningstar on MSFT's fiscal 2Q results.
| Quote: | | Microsoft's MSFT second-quarter results were in line with our expectations. Overall revenue grew 5% year over year as double-digit growth in the server and Xbox businesses offset a 6% decline in Windows division sales. We are maintaining our fair value estimate. We remain pessimistic about the long-term prospects for Windows PC operating system sales, but we do expect the rate of Windows' market share loss to decline following the launch of Windows 8 later this year. We think the weakness in Windows PC OS sales probably stemmed from a combination of factors, including the strong demand for tablet computers, where Microsoft do es not yet have a product, as well as the impact of a temporary reduction in worldwide hard drive production capacity as a result of the floods in Thailand. The Windows 8 PC OS is scheduled for a beta release in February and will mark the firm's entry into the tablet computer market when it ships in late 2012. Although we do not project Windows 8 tablet sales to replicate the growth trajectory of Apple's AAPL iPad, we do expect some traction for Windows 8 tablets in the enterprise market, thereby slowing the decline in Windows' share loss. Microsoft Business Division's sales increased 7% year over year, adjusted for a $224 million tech guarantee impact on the prior-year period's numbers. Office server products continued to do well, with SharePoint, Exchange, Dynamics, and Lync each delivering double-digit year-over-year growth. More than 100,000 customers have signed up for Office 365 since its late June 2011 launch, and we expect the service to drive revenue growth for MBD for a long time. Microsoft's Windows server and SQL server products delivered double-digit growth in the quarter, and we maintain our forecast of continued market share gains for these products. Upcoming new releases of both products should strengthen their value propositions and competitive positions. Windows Server 8 incorporates technological advancements based on learnings/innovations from Microsoft's Azure public cloud service, and we expect it to be significantly more competitive than its predecessor against VMware's VMW private cloud offerings. SQL Server 2012 is scheduled to launch in the current quarter and represents a continuation of Microsoft's efforts to reduce the competitive gap versus Oracle ORCL. |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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Posted: Sun Jan 08, 2012 4:23 am Post subject: |
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More bullishness on MSFT for 2012.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012: The year Microsoft finally battles back
LOS ANGELES (TheWrap.com) - In the constant game of thrones that is the Silicon Valley tech giants' battle for dominance, 2012 could be the year that Microsoft comes back from exile.
Having lost its beat about a decade ago, the software giant has more recently been plotting an aggressive grab for territory. And it's getting back in the game with actual innovation.
Flush with capital from its steady core businesses of software and servers, the company has been quietly busy with research and development in recent months and years.
The results are showing.
* Windows 8, expected to come out in February in beta, is meant to operate at the heart of a Microsoft-wide ecosystem, one that bids to challenge Apple's intuitive array of linked devices and functions. In introducing 8 at a developer's conference in Anaheim in September, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer was expansive, promising, "If Windows 8 is Windows re-imagined, we're also in the process of re-imagining Microsoft."
* The X Box 360's upgrade, via an improved dashboard and the Kinect add-on, is ahead of the pack as a user-friendly voice- and gesture-controlled device and stoking enthusiasm not only among the early adopters and tech geek websites but on Wall Street. With its inviting user interface, it set a record for Black Friday weekend console sales.
Demand was so great that the national Black Friday X Box stampede, in which 800,000 units were sold, included what may be the first single-person-shooter shopping brawl, in which a Los Angeles woman pepper-sprayed the competition in a frenzy over half-price X Box 360s at a Walmart.
"The X Box is optimized for television and already connected to 50 million TV sets," says influential tech consultant and former head of digital for Oprah's network Robert Tercek. "If they can get everybody to sign up for their service (no mean feat with an upfront $60 fee to join X Box Gold and monthly charges for access to some channels), they could be as big a player as Netflix."
* Nor is the company shrinking from a battle for mobile phone -- and tablet -- business now dominated by Apple and Google's Android. The Lumia, which has been out in Europe in the form of the 710 and a fancier 800 model (introduced in London November 30 with Deadmaus deejaying), will be available January 11 in the U.S. at $49.99 with a two-year plan and is aimed at first-time buyers. (Upgraded versions are said to be on the way this spring.)
It's the first phone since the introduction of the iPhone to give Tercek gadget lust. "Have you seen the phone?" he asked TheWrap, pointing to the OLED screen that's easily read in sunlight and the tactile response of the touch screen compared to the iPhone's hard glass and the operating system. "It's a wonder to behold -- a terrific comeback."
Currently the Lumia runs on Windows Phone, but like the rest of the Microsoft offerings to come, it likely will move to the Windows 8 format.
"I've talked to people who are on the inside as developers and designers of the phone and they're pretty excited," Fred Hickey, who writes the widely read newsletter High Tech Strategist, told TheWrap. "So even people who were skeptical about Microsoft in the past are excited about these new offerings."
And if a report of a leaked internal document is correct, the company is planning to stack the deck for Lumia, combining with its phone partners what's described as a $200 million "marketing tsunami" in the U.S. alone for Lumia.
Finally, reinforcing the sense of company's refreshed zeal to compete in the phone arena, a Wall Street Journal report cited secret talks that Microsoft and Nokia were holding to acquire struggling competitor and BlackBerry maker Research in Motion.
* Even the search business that some thought Microsoft had largely ceded to Google is beginning to look more robust. Partly thanks to a useful partnership with Facebook and partly to a mandate to give customers more practical -- and fewer unfiltered -- results, its Bing has been growing in market share, mostly at the expense of Yahoo, in some part thanks to a re-energized ad campaign. (Though a Sunday New York Times piece on Google's new ad campaign for search noted, "An added incentive is that Google's main rival, Microsoft's Bing, also has a new ad campaign.")
Indeed, so promising is 2012 for Microsoft that Standard & Poor's equity analyst Angelo Zino has a "Buy" rating on the company, based both on the company's core business and the new initiatives, especially the much revamped new operating system.
"I think Windows 8 is the best thing they've got out there, and it's really going to be critical. It's almost like an 'all-in' kind of approach, and it's one of those things where they've got to get this right, and if they don't they're going to miss the boat on the whole mobile space," Zino told TheWrap.
But it's not just the products. Another change at the company is a more measured approach to going public with its innovations.
Microsoft, a giant presence at the annual Consumer Electronics Show, recently said next week's gathering will be its last, claiming the massive convention's timing is not always in sync with its product announcements.
And until scattered recent announcements focusing on Windows 8 and mobile, the reinvigoration of the company has been mostly behind the scenes. Not surprising, since Microsoft may have been feeling chastened by some past -- and more ballyhooed -- attempts at rejiggering its profile.
Ironically, though it's only three places beneath Apple in the Fortune 500 -- at No. 38, with $62 billion in revenue, thanks mostly to its core software and server businesses -- its steadily strong profits have been overshadowed by the failure of such ancillary products as the Zune MP3 player and the Windows Vista operating system.
The recent acquisition of Skype for a pricey $8.5 billion also drew fire. By the time the Redmond, Wash., giant announced a deal with struggling Finnish phone manufacturer Nokia this past February, "Microsoft had xxx away the previous 10 years in mobile with one humiliating failure after another," Tercek told TheWrap.
"Microsoft Mobile was a joke, the Windows phone was a joke, and they were humiliated," he added. "So when the Nokia deal was announced the general reaction was, 'Great, you tie two stones together, they still can't float.'"
Ballmer has been the focus of much shareholder criticism and was even targeted in May by feared hedge-fund activist David Einhorn, not just for the stolid share price that's long hovered under $30, but for overseeing the company's $2.56 billion loss in their search unit.
No serious observers believed the fantasy solution that founder Bill Gates would step back in. Instead, it was announced last month that Andy Lees, head of the company's Windows Phone division for the past three years, will be moved into a "time-critical" mission to further integrate Windows 8 with mobile devices, in line with what Lees earlier this year described as "a single ecosystem" integrating phones, televisions and tablets.
Indeed, all this intuitive gadgetry, is helping people forget "the Microsoft of yore with the blue screen of death," Tercek told TheWrap. "With all these great user interface advances, they're showing they can continue to innovate." |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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HenryTo Site Admin


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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Mon Jan 02, 2012 8:48 am Post subject: |
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The Gadget may be making the big putsch but Microsoft still reigns...sorta:
http://tinyurl.com/6pcyjl4 _________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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HenryTo Site Admin


Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 11740 Location: Los Angeles, California
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rffrydr Moderator


Joined: 30 Oct 2005 Posts: 16939 Location: Sunny California
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Posted: Sat Oct 29, 2011 5:19 am Post subject: |
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"Mango" has got what it takes--three years late:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/27/technology/personaltech/windows-phone-is-back-full-of-great-tricks-state-of-the-art.html?ref=technology
| Quote: | Microsoft says that it’s quality, not quantity, and that all the important apps are there. Unfortunately, a long list of essentials are still unavailable: Pandora radio, Dragon dictation, Line2, Flight Track Pro, Ocarina, Instagram, Hipstamatic. You should note, too, that Microsoft’s schoolyard grudge against Google manifests itself in several disappointing ways: you can’t export your videos to YouTube, and you can’t search with Google.
In other words, Microsoft may face quite a Catch-22, no matter how superb its work: Windows Phone isn’t popular because it isn’t popular. |
_________________ Today is the Tomorrow you worried about Yesterday! |
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