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Short Interest

 
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Author Short Interest
HenryTo
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 25, 2007 1:26 pm    Post subject: Short Interest Reply with quote

To be released on a twice-a-month basis going forward. Following is courtesy of the WSJ:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bearish Bets Fall on Nasdaq
August Fall of 3.6% Similar to NYSE;
More Data Released
By PETER A. MCKAY
August 25, 2007; Page B5

NEW YORK -- Short-selling activity fell for the August reporting period at the Nasdaq Stock Market, in line with the recent decline at the competing New York Stock Exchange.

For the monthly period ended Aug. 15, the number of short-selling positions not yet closed out at Nasdaq -- so-called short interest -- fell 3.6% to 9,001,087,804 shares from 9,338,359,662 in mid-July.

Marketwide, the short ratio, or number of days' average volume represented by the outstanding short positions at the exchange, fell to 4.6 from 4.9.

Investors who "short" shares borrow them and sell them, betting the price will fall and they will be able to buy the shares back later at a lower price for return to the lender.

Meanwhile, both the NYSE and Nasdaq will shortly begin releasing short-interest data twice-monthly instead of monthly. The next Nasdaq short-interest report is scheduled to appear Sept. 26 in The Wall Street Journal, and then ones will follow on Oct. 10 and 25 under the new twice-monthly format.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 17, 2012 8:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rffrydr wrote:
From Wolanchuck: Like the 87 crash......short interest is collapsing......nyse short interest plunged 13.4%........dats very boolish.....


The low bearish readings should just be the (very) strong seasonal--january is a new year and that comes with a new attitude. This is especially true after just being mauled.

There is a desperate need out there, for all Wall St. to see, to go forth europe-free. Maybe it's a mass delusion...but the very same's mass hysteria got them to this point in the first place (see: "In God We Trust").



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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 12, 2010 9:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Redemption:


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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 25, 2010 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

From this week's commentary:

Quote:
....What I find particularly interesting about following short positions is that they are ‘real,” that is short sellers actually have their own capital at risk and hence have the strongest incentives to fully utilize as much fundamental information as they can garner. Analysts on the other hand live in a virtual world, certainly having a role in conveying information, but nonetheless somewhat conflicted in terms of generating commissions, trading, and ongoing investment banking business. I apologize to my friends in the Wall Street and Bay Street communities who live in the public fishbowl of publishing research and deal with these pressures. Been there, done that.

Recent academic work has suggested that short sellers as some of the most sophisticated investors around, incorporate most of the value and momentum factors that we have mentioned. By using the evidence provided by the behavior of short sellers in combination with the information (or dis-information) of analyst recommendations provides a fairly potent predictive combination. Stocks with high short interest but conversely rank highly with the analyst community, can represent superb shorts. Conversely, those with little or falling short interest but having little Wall Street support can be great longs.


Yes that's the the way it's supposed to work but be aware that we are coming off a era where this has never applied less. In a "hedged" world what counts as a short is not necessarily that. Positions against convertibles, preferreds, bonds, dividend strips, 100/30 strategies, naked shorting, power-games, jackals on the kill (a la LEH), CDS counter-positions, tax gain (and loss) preservation and not last and certainly not least, Goldman-style born-to-fail product.

Note also implied in the short against analyst love is the idea that the market is the market and celebrity is something else. That is the way it is supposed to work. That is most certainly not the way it works. Celebrity is built in: from the ticker symbol studies to the Henry Blogets; from the manias to the villains. I can painfully attest from shorts in POT, X, PTR, it's never enough just to recognize hot air before taking a short--or long for that matter.

BYD after an electric 2010 anyone?
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 25, 2009 8:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

One of the better indicators that March was the retest low (4-5months also was about the right scale). This rally was "doomed" to happen:

http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN2436499820090324

Mind the banks, that was arbitrage with the preferreds.
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 11, 2008 8:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cover rally potential:

http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/content/stocks+advancing+amid+heavy+short+interest+-+dryships+inc+freeport-mcmoran+copper+gold+inc+chipotle+mexican+grill+inc/trading_floor_blog.aspx?single=true&blogid=89735
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2008 9:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

From Wolanchuck: Like the 87 crash......short interest is collapsing......nyse short interest plunged 13.4%........dats very boolish.....
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HenryTo
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Significant - but not major - decline in short interest in financial shares from July 15th to July 31st:

http://www.forbes.com/reuters/feeds/reuters/2008/08/11/2008-08-11T213627Z_01_N11395038_RTRIDST_0_MARKETS-SHORTINTEREST-FINANCIALS-FACTBOX-URGENT.html

Quote:
From mid-July to late July short interest dropped 5.34 percent, on average, in the shares of 17 major financial firms affected by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission emergency short-selling rule, according to the latest data from the exchange.
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HenryTo
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 25, 2008 8:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Short interest on both the NASDAQ and NYSE rose to a record high as of July 15th - immediately before the new SEC short-selling rule was implemented:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short Stocks: Bets build against BofA, Ambac, Coke
Fri Jul 25, 2008 9:46am EDT

CHICAGO, July 24 (Reuters) - Short interest jumped 7 percent on the Nasdaq in mid-July and rose 2.7 percent on the New York Stock Exchange to a fresh all-time high, as investors continued to make bearish bets on the stock market The following stocks saw increased interest from short sellers, who bet that a certain stock's price will fall. The data reflect short trades with a settlement date of July 15.

BANK OF AMERICA CORP
Short interest rose almost 32 percent in the largest U.S. retail bank. The bank's rising credit losses led to a 41 percent decline in profit in the second quarter. About 133.8 million of the company's shares were held short, or about 3 percent of its total shares outstanding.

AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP
Short interest rose almost 34 percent in shares of the bond insurer. The company lost its top credit rating from both Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's last month. About 99.3 million of the company's shares were held short, or about 35 percent of its total shares outstanding.

COCA-COLA CO
Short interest rose almost 70 percent in shares of the beverage maker. The weakening U.S. economy has taken a toll on the company. About 30.7 million of the company's shares were held short, or just over 1 percent of its total shares outstanding.

SOUTHERN COPPER CORP
Short interest more than tripled in shares of the copper producer. A strike had been planned to start on Monday at the company's Peruvian mine Cuajone, but was temporarily suspended pending mediation. The company has been hit by strikes this year in Peru as workers demand a larger slice of the benefits of the country's economic boom. About 21.9 million of the company's shares were held short, or about 10 percent of its shares that are owned publicly and available for trading.

UAL CORP
Short interest rose almost 57 percent in shares of the parent of United Airlines. The company posted a second-quarter loss this week of $2.7 billion, hit by skyrocketing fuel costs that have forced layoffs and capacity cuts. About 31.3 million of the company's shares were held short, or about 26 percent of its total shares outstanding.

FIFTH THIRD BANCORP
Short interest rose almost 21 percent in shares of the large U.S. Midwest bank. The company posted a second-quarter loss this week, due to rising charges related to the tax treatment of leveraged leases and higher credit costs. About 46.3 million of the company's shares were held short, or about 9 percent of its total shares outstanding.
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probtrader
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 26, 2007 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Meanwhile, specialists and members short position % increased:
http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvMGPro/charts/charts.asp?chart=MEMSRT
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