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The Great Deleveraging
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Author The Great Deleveraging
HenryTo
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 24, 2008 6:28 pm    Post subject: The Great Deleveraging Reply with quote

Similar views from Peter Bernstein regarding our longer-term credit/economic outlook in this weekend's commentary:

http://www.investorsinsight.com/otb_va_print.aspx?EditionID=670


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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 05, 2012 10:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Death of Value....Long live Value!

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/4baba6a0-11f0-11e1-a114-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1lWXdjqd8
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 08, 2011 10:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rffrydr wrote:


The platform economy shows more strains. After the cost shocks and tightness of '08 here we find strange reminiscences. "Just-in-Time" can be "never-on-time" very easily. Look for the buy-american theme to build as a new kind of "hedging" is implemented.


--July 2010

Even Boeing is building in US (South Carolina counts as our own "developing nation") Dollars are not only coming home--but yen and euros too. That crude refuses to budge, having become a financial asset, just presses the case.
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 21, 2011 7:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

--Cept it's been worth 600pts in less than a week's time. To the extent that is a sovereign debt problem it is a problem of confidence. Since, the State is not going away it is always a question of willingness to pay and that puts Politics over numbers.

US "spreads" certainly haven't blown out. This means we are still in the punishment phase. What we may in fact be witnessing is a world starting not to care about markets. EEM is no exception: Private ownership (let alone control) of EEM capital a la Jimbo Rogers has never mattered, nor even made it to 50%.
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 20, 2011 9:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bridgewater on the Supercommittee:

Quote:
Partisanship is Our Biggest Problem

Attention is now focused on whether or not the Supercommittee will come up with its minimum targeted $1.2 trillion (or a bit more). To us this is another example of how great dramas that are newsworthy can, at the time they are transpiring, be mistaken for matters of great importance. Whether or not the Supercommittee reduces the projected budget deficit by a couple of trillion over the next 10 years is not material to us because the private and public sector debt funding gaps are many times that. For example, we are much more interested in how the supposed €29 trillion of European bank assets (or, if you prefer, the €11 trillion in risk weighted assets) that are being supported by €1 trillion in capital will be deleveraged. However, how policy makers approach dealing with such deleveraging issues is very important to us, so we view the Supercommittee's handling of this issue as another straw in the wind.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 12:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 18, 2011 12:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gettin' there:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/housedebt/
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 26, 2011 8:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hey 99%-ers, why don't you try this one?

"Our Father in heaven,
hallowed be your name.
Your kingdom come,
your will be done,
on earth as it is in heaven.
Give us this day our daily bread,
and forgive us our debts,
as we also have forgiven our debtors.
And lead us not into temptation,
but deliver us from evil."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord's_Prayer

That's a message from the Good Book we have all chosen to live
Quote:
without
.
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 21, 2011 6:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"Buy-American" marches on:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-20/record-bond-maturities-loom-as-emerging-company-debt-costs-jump.html

Quote:
Bharti Airtel, the Indian mobile-phone company with about $10 billion of overseas debt, may report a 5 billion rupee ($103 million) hit to second-quarter earnings after the rupee fell to the lowest level since 2009, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Turk Hava Yollari (THYAO), the carrier known as Turkish Airlines, faces $158 million of losses after the lira’s slide to a record low, Ekspres Invest said. Beijing-based Parkson Retail Group Ltd., which has $200 million of dollar bonds coming due next month, is in talks with banks to increase a loan taken out in 2010 by $150 million, two people familiar with the matter said last week.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 21, 2011 8:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

To the mechanism, "voluntary or forced" we should not neglect "free":

http://blogs.wsj.com/developments/2010/06/28/study-nearly-one-in-five-mortgage-defaults-are-strategic/


Quote:
Indeed, the report finds that strategic default remains heavily concentrated in California, Florida, and western states that have seen the biggest run-up and decline in home prices. Strategic defaulters in California were nearly 80 times higher in the first two quarters of 2009 versus 2005.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 3:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Survival, the best credit rating of all....and getting priced (back) in:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704073804576023872251059978.html?ru=yahoo&mod=yahoo_hs
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 10:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 9:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The once shadow financing picking up:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1615361240&play=1
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 11, 2010 11:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bartered debt:

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2010/0811/North-Korea-offers-to-pay-off-Czech-debt-with-Korean-ginseng
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