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The Obama Stimulus
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Author The Obama Stimulus
HenryTo
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 10, 2009 9:49 pm    Post subject: The Obama Stimulus Reply with quote

Greg Mankiw comments on the Obama stimulus plan:

http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2009/01/obamas-multipliers.html

FYI, any posts that discusses politics or any conjectures without sufficient data backing will be deleted.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 12, 2009 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Lincoln Complex:

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/02/12/the-abraham-lincoln-analogy/?hp
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 29, 2009 8:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bottom-up view from CA:

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-na-california-stimulus29-2009jan29,0,7449427.story
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 24, 2009 5:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Obama pitches his plan to reverse economic slide:

Saturday January 24, 6:24 am ET
By Philip Elliott, Associated Press Writer

Obama promises new schools, power lines and energy sources in pitch for economic plan...

WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Barack Obama on Saturday laid out more pieces of an economic plan he says would add 3,000 miles of electrical lines, increase security at 90 ports and double the United States' renewable energy capacity within three years.

It was the latest appeal from the new president for a massive spending bill designed to inject almost a trillion dollars into a flailing U.S. economy and to fulfill campaign pledges. As members of Congress consider an $825 billion plan and Obama woos them, his White House released a radio and Internet address directed at voters who want answers.

"Our economy could fall $1 trillion short of its full capacity, which translates into more than $12,000 in lost income for a family of four. And we could lose a generation of potential, as more young Americans are forced to forgo college dreams or the chance to train for the jobs of the future," Obama said in a five-minute address that the White House released early Saturday.

"In short, if we do not act boldly and swiftly, a bad situation could become dramatically worse."

Along with the speech, Obama's economic team released a report designed to outline tangible benefits of the plan and shore up support. Aides said they wanted people to understand exactly what they could expect -- more schools, lower electricity bills -- if their members of Congress supported the proposed legislation.

The United States lost 2.6 million jobs last year, the most in any single year since World War II. Manufacturing is at a 28-year low and even Obama's economists say unemployment could top 10 percent before the recession ends. One in 10 homeowners are at risk of foreclosure and the dollar continues its slide in value.

That harsh reality has dominated Obama's first days in office and prompted a Saturday meeting of his economic team at the White House during their first weekend in power.

A day earlier, he invited Democratic and Republican leaders to the White House to hear their ideas on the economy, yet Obama didn't share the plan's specifics while they visited.

Many of the goals in the speech and report were familiar from Obama's two-year campaign, like shifting to electronic medical records and investing in preventive health care. Other parts added specifics.

Obama's recovery package aims to:

-- Double within three years the amount of energy that could be produced from renewable resources, an ambitious goal given the 30 years it took to reach current levels. Advisers say that could power 6 million households.

-- Upgrade 10,000 schools and improve learning for about 5 million students.

-- Save $2 billion a year by making federal buildings energy efficient.

-- Triple the number of undergraduate and graduate fellowships in science.

The plan would spend at least 75 percent of the total cost -- or more than $600 billion -- within the first 18 months, providing a massive infusion of cash to the struggling economy, either through bricks-and-shovels projects favored by Democrats or tax cuts that Republicans have pushed. Either could produce progress the administration could point to if it needs to justify a second economic package.

The broad plan puts heavy emphasis on infrastructure that crumbled as state budgets contracted. Governors have lobbied Obama to help them patch holes in their budgets, drained by sinking tax revenues and increased need for public assistance like Medicaid and children's health insurance. Obama's plan would increase the federal portion of those programs so no state would have to cut any of the 20 million children whose eligibility is now at risk.

Obama's plan would also provide health care coverage for 8.5 million Americans who lose their insurance when they either lose or shift jobs.

"It's a plan that will save or create 3 to 4 million jobs over the next few years" and recognizes "there are millions of Americans trying to find work even as, all around the country, there's so much work to be done," he said.

But he cautioned again against expecting instant results: "No one policy or program will solve the challenges we face right now, nor will this crisis recede in a short period of time."

Obama video: http://www.whitehouse.gov
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Fri Jan 23, 2009 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Ring Around the White Collar

By Jim Cramer
RealMoney Columnist
1/22/2009 2:24 PM EST


Where's Barack Obama going to put the 5,000 workers laid off from Microsoft (MSFT - commentary - Cramer's Take)? Where's he going to place the 30,000 people that Bank of America (BAC - commentary - Cramer's Take) has said it will broom? How about the huge number of people who are going to get fired at Citigroup (C - commentary - Cramer's Take) when Smith Barney gets joint ventured with Morgan Stanley (MS - commentary - Cramer's Take)? How about the people who are losing their jobs as Intel (INTC - commentary - Cramer's Take) closes its fabricators because of a lack of demand?




We've got a white collar recession on our hands, with a weekly jobless figure that's the highest in 26 years, and the market's wondering with this decline today where, no matter how Obama tries, these people can find jobs -- or hope, for that matter.

They can't build bridges and they can't build cell towers and they can't all work on fixing the electric grid or making better solar power, two excellent plans that Eric Schmidt mentioned last night on "Mad Money." I scratch my head every time I think of this, but I do wonder if a place to start might be this "First National Bad Bank," which will need a huge amount of staffing as the bank's purpose will be modifying mortgages, something that's not cookie cutter.

Solar and clean energy can be staffed with Intel and Microsoft people. The First National Bad Bank can hire the Citigroup and Bank of America people.

But when you think of it, we would be lucky in a year to create enough jobs for the 500,000 employment claims we just got for this very week, even as accelerated stimulus is the chatter of the day.

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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2009 10:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The 87 billion in planned infrastructure doesn't even match Citi's 90billion in writeoffs.
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HenryTo
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 11:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The whitehouse.gov website has been completely refreshed. The following link discusses the "Obama stimulus," and contains the text of his January 8th speech on his economic policy:

http://www.whitehouse.gov/agenda/economy/
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 8:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A "peace-dividend" anyone?

I'd like to think that today's action was more a Bush goodbye than an Obama Hello. The old gap on the March SP is at 792.
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 3:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

IMO this is Bretton Woods III in action. Massive fiscal and monetary stimulus by racking up the credit card bill even further in the hope this will save us from ourselves. They have to try the dreaded 0% economic system just to see what hell this unleashes.

Once the lessons are learned, we will return finally to some very simple concepts:

1. BALANCE THE DAMN BOOKS.
2. CREATE CAPITAL VIA LABOR/COMMERCE AND INNOVATION.
3. REDUCE MILITARY SPENDING.
4. PROTECT SAVINGS.

The oldest virtues are still the real thing.
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rffrydr
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 10:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Martin Wolf wants more, spread wider:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d7ff9856-e191-11dd-afa0-0000779fd2ac.html
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PostPosted: Thu Jan 15, 2009 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The size of the fiscal stimulus increases from $775 billion to $825 billion, while the amount of tax cuts has been reduced from $300 billion to $275 billion:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dems unveil $825 billion stimulus measure
Summary of Democrats' $825B stimulus bill shows emphasis on education, health, tax cuts
David Espo, AP Special Correspondent
Thursday January 15, 2009, 9:13 am EST

WASHINGTON (AP) -- House Democrats are circulating an $825 billion economic stimulus measure that emphasizes health care, education and highway construction as well as tax cuts for individuals and businesses.

A summary of the measure shows spending totaling roughly $550 billion and tax cuts of $275 billion, although the totals are expected to shift considerably as Congress works on the bill.

Democratic leaders plan to unveil the legislation later today. The Associated Press obtained a copy in advance.

Democratic leaders have pledged to have a bill ready for President-elect Barack Obama to sign by mid-February.
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