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Why the drop in fast food -YUM, WEN, MCD?

 
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Author Why the drop in fast food -YUM, WEN, MCD?
wtabacchi
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2005 12:30 pm    Post subject: Why the drop in fast food -YUM, WEN, MCD? Reply with quote

Can anyone explain why the fast food stocks are down about 1.50 - 1.75 over the last 2 days?

Will
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Author Why the drop in fast food -YUM, WEN, MCD? Replies
nodoodahs
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 15, 2005 3:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

IMO we have to separate the reality of the situation from what the stock speculators and institutional investors believe is happening or believe will happen. Lots of events that impact a stock's trading price have zero or negligible impact on earnings, and occasionally, vice versa.

If institutional money managers want to bet on a recession, one way to do that is be underweight on stocks that constitute discretionary spending and that might be interpreted as including fast food or restaurants.

That doesn't imply that the word "recession" has any meaning other than to a GDP-watching economist, doesn't imply that there will be a recession, and doesn't imply that the stocks mentioned will have their earnings impacted at all. But you can take it to the bank that increased talk of a "recession" will increase selling pressure on fast food stocks. How much? Does it present a profitable trade? I don't know.
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wtabacchi
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 15, 2005 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

nodoodahs wrote:
Just a guess - fear of a Katrina-induced recession, fast food will be one of the first things people "economize out" of their budgets.


I asked at my local MCD about business, "no change at the counter or even the drive through" Hardly scientific but it reinforces my opinion that people are hooked on fast food and will always need their days "fix"

Will;
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nodoodahs
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2005 1:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just a guess - fear of a Katrina-induced recession, fast food will be one of the first things people "economize out" of their budgets.
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